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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 29, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Nuggets30%9869
9Grizzlies70%10599
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
26
31
10
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
46%
0-5
0%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.2
25
31
9
2
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
0-3
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
23
36
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.2
23
32
10
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
52%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.4
22
24
0
6
1
1
1
0
3
3
3
0-0
-
0-7
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.0
21
18
2
3
5
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.3
16
8
2
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
40%
0-5
0%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.7
15
3
6
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
44%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.0
15
4
2
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
15
3
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0-0
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
14
19
8
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
13
19
7
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.4
12
19
4
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
50%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
30
32
15
17
2
1
1
0
1
5
12
3-4
75%
6-14
6-12
43%
50%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
26
27
13
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
4-7
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.0
25
30
10
7
2
1
1
2
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-8
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
24
29
11
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
5-8
2-5
63%
52%
0-2
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
23
22
11
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
1-2
50%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.0
25
18
11
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
23
18
6
7
0
0
0
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.0
21
14
8
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
2-4
50%
3-9
2-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
18
11
6
6
1
2
0
0
0
1
5
2-4
50%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
12
5
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.0
7
20
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
5
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
42%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
17
1
2-5
50%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.