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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 29, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Knicks28%9382
20Pacers72%101103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.1
34.9
32.6
4
20%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
41%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
29.7
30.3
8
58%
7
5
1
1
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-5
5-10
60%
46%
0-1
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.3
27.8
24.8
9
64%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
25.2
32.5
18
53%
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-12
7-14
42%
46%
2-4
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.1
21.1
25.5
17
75%
3
1
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-3
33%
8-10
2-5
80%
42%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
24.2
25.7
8
40%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
42%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
21.0
6.1
3
31%
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
20.4
23.6
11
51%
5
1
0
0
1
0
0
5
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
2-4
50%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
18.2
5.5
2
20%
4
0
1
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.3
17.5
12.5
2
25%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.2
11.0
0
1-3
49%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
7.5
0
0-1
48%
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
5.1
0
1-1
45%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.8
35.7
28.7
7
39%
6
5
1
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.9
33.0
30.7
10
56%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.8
31.5
30.4
22
72%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
5-5
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
1-2
50%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
26.6
32.3
10
51%
6
6
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-4
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
52%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 28.1
23.6
22.6
18
82%
10
1
1
0
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
9-11
4-9
82%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.2
24.4
21.3
8
49%
10
0
1
1
1
3
1
9
0-5
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
55%
0-0
-
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.6
18.8
19.1
5
63%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.9
12.7
18.1
5
42%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-4
25%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.7
12.3
18.5
8
59%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.9
12.0
2.2
2
33%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26.0
9.4
5.3
8
80%
5
1
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
51%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.7
13.8
0
3-5
50%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.0
8.2
0
1-2
49%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.8
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.