Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Rockets	66%	107	93	96.9	96	95.7
	23	Celtics	34%	101	87	90.6	96	96.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	39.4	14	30%	6	7	2	0	5	2	0	6	4-5	80%	2-14	14%	2-7	29%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 30	34.6	7	35%	8	2	1	0	2	1	1	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 27	33.0	8	44%	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	4	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Donatas Motiejunas F · 7'0" 220 · 24	31.4	26	76%	12	1	0	0	4	1	4	8	1-3	33%	8-11	73%	3-5	60%
Joey Dorsey C · 6'8" 268 · 31	12.7	6	100%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Josh Smith · 6'9" 225 · 29	30.9	15	54%	10	3	2	1	1	4	2	8	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 29	23.1	10	63%	4	1	0	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	20.1	7	50%	2	0	0	3	0	3	1	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	14.9	0	0%	2	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| NWT - Right Knee Edema
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nick Johnson #3 · G · 6'3" 202 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	50	22	6	4	16	0	12	38	15-20	75%	27-54	50%	8-30	27%

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8 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 25	39.4	14	30%	6	7	2	0	5	2	0	6	4-5	80%	2-14	14%	2-7	29%
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 30	34.6	7	35%	8	2	1	0	2	1	1	7	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-7	14%
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 27	33.0	8	44%	4	4	1	0	1	2	0	4	3-4	75%	1-4	25%	1-3	33%
Donatas Motiejunas F · 7'0" 220 · 24	31.4	26	76%	12	1	0	0	4	1	4	8	1-3	33%	8-11	73%	3-5	60%
Joey Dorsey C · 6'8" 268 · 31	12.7	6	100%	2	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Josh Smith · 6'9" 225 · 29	30.9	15	54%	10	3	2	1	1	4	2	8	2-2	100%	5-10	50%	1-3	33%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 29	23.1	10	63%	4	1	0	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-1	0%
Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 23	20.1	7	50%	2	0	0	3	0	3	1	1	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 37	14.9	0	0%	2	4	0	0	0	1	2	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 29	\| NWT - Right Knee Edema
Kostas Papanikolaou F · 6'8" 235 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Isaiah Canaan G · 6'0" 200 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Alexey Shved G · 6'6" 187 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Nick Johnson #3 · G · 6'3" 202 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Clint Capela #15 · C · 6'10" 256 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	48%	50	22	6	4	16	0	12	38	15-20	75%	27-54	50%	8-30	27%

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23 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Brandon Bass C · 6'8" 250 · 30	32.8	17	57%	8	1	0	1	0	2	3	5	5-8	63%	6-11	55%	0-0	-
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 24	31.9	10	36%	1	1	1	0	0	3	0	1	4-4	100%	3-8	38%	0-4	0%
Jared Sullinger F · 6'9" 260 · 23	30.4	8	31%	7	4	1	1	3	4	2	5	0-0	-	4-11	36%	0-3	0%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	27.9	7	44%	4	1	3	1	2	4	0	4	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Evan Turner G · 6'7" 220 · 26	20.7	4	20%	3	1	1	0	3	2	2	1	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-2	0%

Marcus Smart G · 6'3" 220 · 21	27.3	4	29%	3	4	1	1	2	4	1	2	1-2	50%	0-1	0%	1-5	20%
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28	23.0	17	65%	7	0	1	0	1	1	1	6	1-1	100%	2-7	29%	4-6	67%
Tayshaun Prince F · 6'9" 212 · 35	21.1	13	65%	4	2	0	0	0	1	1	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-1	100%
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 25	18.1	7	35%	11	0	0	0	0	2	4	7	3-4	75%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Gerald Wallace F · 6'7" 220 · 33	6.9	0	0%	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Phil Pressey G · 5'11" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph #42 · F · 6'10" 236 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kelly Olynyk #41 · F-C · 7'0" 240 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	87	42%	48	14	8	5	11	0	14	34	16-23	70%	25-66	38%	7-24	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BOS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	BOS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

0.97 48.4%

BOS

0.84 42.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

18

30

60%

BOS

14

31

45%

Midrange

HOU

9

24

38%

BOS

11

35

31%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

8

12.0

30

27%

40%

BOS

7

10.5

24

29%

44%

Free Throws

HOU

15

20

75%

BOS

16

23

70%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Motiejunas	26	76%	13.0 / 17
J. Smith	15	54%	7.5 / 14
J. Harden	14	30%	7.0 / 23
C. Brewer	10	63%	5.0 / 8
P. Beverley	8	44%	4.0 / 9
T. Ariza	7	35%	3.5 / 10
T. Jones	7	50%	3.5 / 7
J. Dorsey	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Terry	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
B. Bass	17	57%	8.5 / 15
M. Thornton	17	65%	8.5 / 13
T. Prince	13	65%	6.5 / 10
A. Bradley	10	36%	5.0 / 14
J. Sullinger	8	31%	4.0 / 13
J. Crowder	7	44%	3.5 / 8
T. Zeller	7	35%	3.5 / 10
E. Turner	4	20%	2.0 / 10
M. Smart	4	29%	2.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	12 107.0 19 104.8	HOU 96.9 +6.3 BOS 90.6
Pace	2 96.6 5 95.8	HOU 95.7 BOS 96.3 +0.5
Avg. Poss. Time	27 14.6 29 14.4	HOU 15.0 BOS 15.0 −0.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 22 48.9%	HOU 46.4% +7.0% BOS 39.4%
TO %	28 16.4% 7 13.7%	HOU 15.5% BOS 10.7% −4.8%
ORB %	7 26.8% 16 24.7%	HOU 26.1% BOS 26.9% +0.8%
FTrt	2 31.2 28 23.3	HOU 23.8 BOS 25.6 +1.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 60.0% 3 62.9%	HOU 62.9% +19.1% BOS 43.8%
STL %	3 9.8% 10 8.5%	HOU 6.3% BOS 8.3% +2.0%
BLK %	14 8.0% 30 5.7%	HOU 6.1% BOS 9.3% +3.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	8 53.3% 22 51.1%	HOU 48.4% +6.2% BOS 42.2%
Rim FG%	14 58.0% 17 57.3%	HOU 60.0% +14.8% BOS 45.2%
Mid FG%	27 37.1% 7 40.9%	HOU 37.5% +6.1% BOS 31.4%
3P %	14 34.8% 27 32.7%	HOU 26.7% BOS 29.2% +2.5%
FT %	27 71.5% 14 75.4%	HOU 75.0% +5.4% BOS 69.6%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	6 39.2% 21 34.7%	HOU 35.7% +1.3% BOS 34.4%
Mid Att. %	1 21.6% 15 37.3%	HOU 28.6% −10.3% BOS 38.9%
3P Att. %	1 39.2% 13 28.0%	HOU 35.7% +9.0% BOS 26.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Game Totals	HOU	BOS
Possessions	96	96
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.9
Points	93	87
Rebounds	50	48
Assists	22	14
Steals	6	8
Blocks	4	5
Turnovers (Team)	16 (1)	11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	38 (5)	34 (3)
Field Goals	35-84	32-90
At-the-Rim FG	18-30	14-31
Midrange FG	9-24	11-35
2-Point FG	27-54	25-66
3-Point FG	8-30	7-24
Free Throws	15-20	16-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg