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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings23%10090
4Cavaliers77%110101
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
35.6
31.7
21
47%
13
4
5
1
1
3
4
9
11-12
92%
5-17
7-15
29%
48%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
32.6
29.2
20
51%
9
1
1
1
0
1
2
7
8-8
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.0
26.7
32.8
6
38%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.4
25.6
31.3
11
46%
2
4
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
1-3
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.5
20.6
25.9
2
20%
8
0
0
0
0
1
4
4
0-2
0%
1-4
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
22.7
5.6
15
78%
3
0
2
0
0
4
1
2
5-6
83%
5-7
1-1
71%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.4
17.5
17.1
6
61%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.3
15.3
15.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
14.9
15.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.2
7.5
19.9
1
13%
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.6
7.5
8.0
2
50%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.3
7.5
5.9
4
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
59%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
6.1
15.6
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.7
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
36.9
32.5
16
67%
3
5
4
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
46%
4-10
40%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.1
33.1
25.0
19
51%
3
7
4
1
2
6
0
3
4-6
67%
6-12
6-10
50%
58%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
31.7
37.3
21
71%
3
6
0
2
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
5-7
6-13
71%
50%
3-6
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.4
29.1
33.2
23
63%
10
3
0
1
0
2
1
9
3-3
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
50%
2-5
40%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.5
20.6
27.3
7
66%
8
0
1
1
3
2
1
7
1-3
33%
3-4
4-7
75%
53%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.9
28.2
24.6
6
45%
9
0
0
0
0
0
3
6
4-6
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
51%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.6
21.6
18.5
7
50%
3
1
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
44%
1-4
25%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.4
16.3
16.0
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.7
15.3
13.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.9
5.0
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.3
2.4
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.2
2.6
0
0-1
49%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.