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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks
93
14Heat
72
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.3
31
34
12
1
7
2
2
0
0
0
1
3-6
50%
3-7
6-13
43%
49%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.3
30
31
11
13
0
1
1
0
3
5
8
1-2
50%
5-7
3-5
71%
62%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.6
27
29
12
6
4
0
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
3-13
5-10
23%
51%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.9
23
29
4
4
4
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.6
21
10
7
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.4
29
17
10
7
2
4
1
0
1
5
2
4-6
67%
3-4
1-3
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.9
27
16
9
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.4
23
6
20
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
49%
6-11
55%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.6
18
13
5
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
45%
1-3
33%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
12
4
3
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
0-1
50%
60%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
32
1
3-6
53%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.5
13
0
1-3
53%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.6
4
0
0-1
44%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
35
33
10
3
6
1
2
0
5
1
2
2-4
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
2-7
29%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
34
34
12
8
1
0
1
1
3
2
6
1-3
33%
4-14
7-12
29%
53%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.6
29
24
16
24
0
1
1
1
3
10
14
2-3
67%
7-11
4-7
64%
55%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.5
17
17
8
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-3
67%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.8
16
21
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-4
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
32
12
15
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
47%
3-5
60%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.7
24
1
4
1
3
3
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
20
16
2
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-9
1-3
11%
46%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
16
13
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
15
14
2
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
60%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.8
2
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.6
10
0
1-2
48%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.