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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 30, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Bulls34%10393
7Suns66%10899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.4
42.4
38.0
22
51%
7
4
2
2
0
2
0
7
5-8
63%
7-12
5-10
58%
48%
1-6
17%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
36.3
34.5
23
43%
5
3
0
1
0
3
2
3
7-9
78%
8-17
6-13
47%
47%
0-6
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.6
35.6
34.5
10
31%
19
3
0
0
1
1
6
13
0-5
0%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
32.8
30.6
9
48%
10
5
1
1
2
1
4
6
3-3
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
19.9
21.6
2
50%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.0
32.1
17.3
21
76%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
44%
3-5
60%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
21.6
25.2
4
50%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.1
11.4
25.9
2
25%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
42%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
7.6
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
0.3
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.1
1.9
0
0-0
52%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.1
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.1
36.9
33.8
23
63%
4
6
3
2
0
4
1
3
5-5
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
51%
2-3
67%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.7
35.6
32.8
21
56%
2
4
1
1
2
1
1
1
2-2
100%
8-14
5-9
57%
54%
1-4
25%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.4
32.4
29.4
12
36%
14
3
0
1
1
2
2
12
2-2
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
52%
0-2
0%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.7
31.7
29.3
6
38%
7
1
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
0-3
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.6
20.7
23.6
7
72%
8
0
0
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
3-4
3-5
75%
55%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.0
23.9
23.4
6
30%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
1-5
20%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.4
23.4
18.7
12
51%
5
1
2
1
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
2-5
40%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.3
18.6
16.6
8
82%
5
0
0
0
2
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
3-4
75%
65%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.4
16.9
9.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.0
16.7
0
2-4
48%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.4
2.5
0
0-1
49%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.4
2.0
0
0-0
48%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.6
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.5
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.