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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets57%104101
19Pistons43%102114
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
39
33
15
6
3
2
2
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
3-7
43%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
36
37
26
7
9
2
2
1
4
0
7
4-5
80%
8-13
5-11
62%
50%
2-4
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
29
31
21
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
9-11
5-9
82%
54%
1-2
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.6
27
30
10
3
0
2
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
2-6
33%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.1
13
14
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.9
28
23
10
3
3
0
1
0
3
2
1
3-6
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.2
23
27
7
7
3
1
1
2
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
0-1
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.1
19
18
3
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
55%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.5
12
5
8
2
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
2-4
50%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.7
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-5
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.4
6
16
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.1
11
0
2-3
57%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.1
2
0
0-1
43%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.1
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.9
40
28
28
5
4
1
1
3
0
1
4
2-4
50%
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
6-11
55%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.7
38
31
19
12
2
0
1
1
1
1
11
5-8
63%
7-12
6-13
58%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.2
37
29
28
2
12
2
1
0
5
0
2
11-13
85%
7-11
3-7
64%
43%
1-2
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.7
36
22
14
4
4
3
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
1-3
57%
46%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.5
33
25
11
16
0
1
1
3
0
8
8
1-7
14%
5-11
5-10
45%
55%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
25
23
12
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
3-3
100%
3-5
1-1
60%
50%
1-5
20%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
19
27
0
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
48%
0-1
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.8
11
11
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
16
0
1-2
43%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.9
12
0
1-2
51%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
4
0
0-1
51%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
3
0
0-1
45%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
2
0
0-0
41%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.