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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Thunder48%9774
12Grizzlies52%9885
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.3
36.9
37.9
15
40%
7
4
1
1
0
4
0
7
5-6
83%
5-11
7-13
45%
53%
0-5
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
31.9
33.8
14
39%
6
5
0
2
0
3
1
5
3-4
75%
4-13
8-16
31%
46%
1-3
33%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
30.0
34.0
13
55%
10
0
1
1
1
1
4
6
4-4
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.5
22.1
23.1
6
61%
2
1
0
1
2
1
2
0
0-2
0%
3-4
3-5
75%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
13.8
14.2
3
150%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
1-1
100%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.1
29.9
23.9
7
25%
7
1
2
1
0
4
1
6
0-0
-
2-10
3-7
20%
44%
1-4
25%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.2
20.3
17.5
0
0%
5
2
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.3
18.1
20.8
5
42%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-3
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.3
16.6
14.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.8
16.1
22.8
6
61%
3
2
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
2.2
15.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
2.2
1.7
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
1-1
100%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
1.4
0
0-0
41%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.7
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.5
36.7
31.1
21
46%
18
3
0
1
1
3
10
8
5-6
83%
8-20
6-12
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.4
34.6
26.4
8
33%
2
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.0
32.0
28.2
15
46%
12
5
2
1
1
0
2
10
5-5
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
28.7
12.9
10
42%
2
3
0
1
0
3
2
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
2-5
40%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.3
27.6
26.8
7
58%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.1
25.9
17.4
8
52%
5
2
3
1
0
2
2
3
4-6
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
18.3
22.1
2
25%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.9
14.9
19.4
4
29%
7
0
1
0
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-7
3-5
29%
53%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
11.1
13.7
6
43%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.0
9.1
20.0
4
50%
0
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
1.1
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.5
2.3
0
0-1
42%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.1
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.