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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Celtics56%103108
29Knicks44%10197
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.9
36.7
26.5
13
56%
4
3
2
1
0
3
0
4
5-6
83%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-7
29%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.9
36.0
25.1
22
58%
9
6
0
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
11-16
4-8
69%
50%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
32.6
31.7
26
90%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
8-9
4-8
89%
48%
3-5
60%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
32.6
21.9
5
37%
8
5
0
1
0
5
2
6
3-4
75%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
30.0
31.1
12
61%
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
5-8
5-11
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.6
28.9
23.4
13
70%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-3
67%
4-6
2-4
67%
53%
1-2
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.5
17.0
6.7
5
32%
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.7
15.0
17.3
3
44%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.0
11.1
24.0
9
95%
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
3-4
75%
3-3
4-8
100%
54%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.9
14.3
0
2-3
44%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.0
7.4
0
0-1
41%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.5
7.2
0
0-1
51%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.4
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.2
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.2
36.4
28.1
6
50%
6
1
1
1
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
32.9
31.1
21
44%
6
3
2
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
8-18
7-14
44%
48%
1-5
20%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.3
31.0
25.2
17
71%
2
2
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
30.6
30.8
12
75%
7
5
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
6-8
5-10
75%
48%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
29.5
30.5
4
25%
5
5
0
1
1
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
0-5
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
24.8
20.1
11
63%
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
4-7
3-6
57%
44%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
23.0
22.4
14
59%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-5
38%
48%
2-3
67%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.3
16.2
17.0
8
82%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.3
13.0
15.8
4
45%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
2.6
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.3
5.8
0
1-2
51%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
3.7
0
0-0
50%
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
3.6
0
0-1
48%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.