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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 6, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Lakers
97
28Magic
103
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.2
37
33
10
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
1-3
3-7
33%
48%
2-7
29%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.8
33
17
20
5
3
2
0
1
0
1
4
3-3
100%
1-8
1-2
13%
45%
5-6
83%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.7
32
20
10
6
3
1
0
2
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-12
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.7
31
25
14
2
6
4
1
0
3
2
0
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
23
13
2
6
1
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
53%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
31
22
9
9
2
1
1
1
3
3
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-4
25%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
22
24
14
1
3
2
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-2
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.7
21
25
4
6
2
0
1
3
0
2
4
0-2
0%
2-6
4-6
33%
55%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.2
18
27
14
3
2
2
1
0
2
2
1
0-1
0%
7-13
6-12
54%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.7
16
19
0
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.5
11
0
2-5
51%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.5
9
0
2-3
47%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.6
6
0
0-1
41%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 41.0
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
45
33
34
7
2
1
1
1
2
0
7
4-4
100%
12-13
5-10
92%
52%
2-5
40%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
41
31
25
13
2
2
1
2
1
4
9
3-5
60%
11-21
8-15
52%
54%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.8
37
35
12
11
5
2
2
1
4
3
8
2-2
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.0
34
30
4
2
6
2
2
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
17
13
7
2
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.4
23
23
7
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
22
21
5
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.0
19
2
4
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.3
14
27
3
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
12
12
2
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
11
1
1-2
53%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.8
7
0
1-2
46%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
4
0
0-1
52%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.