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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
February 6, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors58%105116
8Hawks42%103124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
36.3
30.0
29
67%
4
5
2
1
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
7-12
4-9
58%
48%
4-8
50%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
36.2
33.1
26
59%
2
9
2
2
2
1
0
2
6-7
86%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
4-9
44%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.9
35.4
31.7
12
40%
20
6
1
2
0
2
10
10
0-2
0%
6-12
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
30.2
27.5
12
50%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
2-5
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.2
22.1
21.0
5
51%
7
1
0
1
3
4
1
6
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.0
30.3
25.2
8
50%
1
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
13.4
15.3
6
38%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-1
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.8
12.6
16.6
4
50%
4
1
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.4
11.8
15.1
6
75%
4
3
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.2
11.7
14.7
8
40%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
47%
2-4
50%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.1
0.0
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.8
4.4
0
0-1
47%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
2.7
0
0-0
46%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.7
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
34.3
32.2
21
69%
4
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
9-12
75%
6-8
4-9
75%
49%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
34.1
33.0
17
85%
7
2
2
1
1
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
5-9
56%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
33.4
28.8
12
77%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
2-4
100%
51%
1-3
33%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
32.3
30.3
23
58%
3
7
3
1
2
2
1
2
11-11
100%
3-11
5-10
27%
48%
2-4
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
27.9
32.1
12
51%
14
6
1
1
0
3
1
13
4-4
100%
4-9
7-13
44%
54%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.6
26.6
24.6
11
92%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-3
100%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.4
17.6
19.7
9
50%
0
7
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
46%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.6
17.0
15.9
17
97%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
3-3
100%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
16.9
11.3
2
20%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
9.3
0
1-2
44%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
7.9
0
1-1
48%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.9
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 24.0
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.