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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 6, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat24%9085
2Spurs76%10098
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
36
33
14
7
3
1
1
1
1
1
6
0-1
0%
7-17
6-13
41%
51%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
34
32
17
6
0
0
1
0
3
0
6
4-4
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
47%
1-2
50%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
26
19
4
1
5
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
38%
0-4
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
25
30
7
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
47%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
22
16
10
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
59%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
28
3
2
5
4
1
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
25
18
18
2
0
2
1
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
41%
2-2
100%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
21
13
7
8
1
1
0
1
4
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
20
25
4
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
4
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
28
1
5-10
53%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.8
19
0
1-3
42%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.9
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
33
34
24
4
4
3
2
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-5
5-9
60%
56%
5-10
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
29
28
21
3
4
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
7-9
5-10
78%
51%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.8
25
29
10
12
0
1
1
0
4
4
8
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
51%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
19
14
6
4
0
0
0
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
54%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
16
26
8
2
0
0
1
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
24
25
6
4
9
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
51%
2-4
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
19
17
7
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
1-4
25%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
18
15
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
18
21
2
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
16
17
5
2
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
16
8
3
4
3
2
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
3
15
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.8
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.