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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 7, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Bulls49%103107
14Pelicans51%10472
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.4
33.7
38.9
18
54%
4
5
1
2
0
1
2
2
6-6
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.3
28.1
35.8
20
61%
2
4
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-10
6-14
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.6
27.6
32.8
20
67%
15
4
0
0
3
3
4
11
1-2
50%
8-13
6-12
62%
49%
1-1
100%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.9
24.6
31.1
2
50%
7
0
0
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.1
14.9
26.5
2
25%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.2
28.9
11.1
19
95%
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
48%
5-6
83%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
24.6
27.1
4
33%
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.1
23.8
17.2
7
39%
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-4
25%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
12.7
12.2
4
67%
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
47%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.9
10.5
5.4
2
33%
1
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
6.6
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.1
4.2
1.6
9
116%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.4
30.2
36.4
15
63%
4
3
2
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
6-13
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
24.9
30.2
3
15%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-8
3-7
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.6
24.1
23.5
6
38%
7
0
0
0
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
52%
0-0
-
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.8
21.8
29.2
0
0%
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.9
12.7
37.2
8
36%
5
1
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
10-18
36%
53%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.8
22.9
27.9
4
17%
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
0-5
0%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 26.8
22.3
7.2
10
56%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
5-9
1-2
56%
55%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.9
21.1
28.7
6
44%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-2
0%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.9
19.6
10.2
7
41%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.9
15.9
2.0
5
42%
1
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.9
14.1
1.3
5
64%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
0-0
67%
50%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.6
10.5
1.6
3
150%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
36%
1-1
100%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 35.2
3.8
0
0-0
42%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.