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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Clippers43%103108
4Thunder57%105131
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
35.6
33.6
18
61%
6
13
3
2
0
1
2
4
4-4
100%
7-9
5-9
78%
50%
0-4
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 26.8
35.5
16.6
17
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
5-11
1-3
45%
48%
2-5
40%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
35.1
32.1
8
52%
10
2
1
1
1
0
4
6
2-4
50%
3-6
4-6
50%
67%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.9
31.6
28.6
15
63%
2
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-3
50%
54%
3-6
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
25.6
23.5
9
50%
1
1
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-6
60%
42%
1-4
25%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.9
33.7
30.7
21
49%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-3
67%
5-13
4-8
38%
45%
3-7
43%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.9
11.3
4.2
6
50%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
2-5
40%
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.1
9.3
6.7
10
113%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27.7
9.3
2.7
2
41%
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 34.1
7.4
8.4
2
114%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 29.1
5.5
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.9
32.3
1
8-15
52%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.6
9.0
0
1-2
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
31.5
37.2
19
44%
11
5
1
2
0
5
2
9
6-6
100%
5-15
9-18
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
29.9
35.7
13
46%
5
1
1
1
2
0
2
3
6-7
86%
2-6
4-8
33%
53%
1-5
20%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.4
29.0
38.6
29
80%
5
6
0
1
0
2
2
3
7-7
100%
8-12
7-13
67%
54%
2-3
67%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
23.2
18.1
3
39%
7
0
2
1
1
0
2
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
56%
0-0
-
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
12.3
25.4
5
58%
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1
1-3
33%
2-3
3-5
67%
55%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
24.2
25.1
16
63%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
4-7
4-8
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.8
23.6
18.0
15
102%
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
5-5
2-5
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.7
23.5
3.1
19
88%
10
0
1
0
0
2
5
5
3-4
75%
8-9
0-1
89%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.3
19.1
8.5
4
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
54%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
9.3
4.4
2
33%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
8.5
1.4
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
2-3
67%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
6.0
1.2
0
0%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.2
19.4
0
2-4
46%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.