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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 8, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
82
9Raptors
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
37
33
11
5
1
1
2
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
4-12
5-9
33%
54%
1-5
20%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.8
32
27
12
12
5
2
1
2
2
5
7
6-6
100%
3-14
5-10
21%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
30
28
10
3
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
1-3
33%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
24
21
6
7
2
3
1
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-6
17%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
13
16
2
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
27
25
9
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
1-7
14%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
24
19
6
6
2
1
0
1
2
3
3
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
19
17
10
7
2
1
0
1
1
4
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
17
17
12
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
11
9
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
6
18
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
0
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.8
3
0
0-1
53%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.9
37
35
12
5
7
2
1
0
4
0
5
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
47%
1-4
25%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
36
32
18
3
4
3
1
1
3
0
3
10-12
83%
4-13
6-13
31%
45%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
34
24
8
16
0
1
0
4
1
3
13
2-2
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
30
12
20
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
7-9
2-3
78%
53%
1-1
100%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
26
25
15
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
3-4
75%
6-8
3-6
75%
58%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.9
27
27
7
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
52%
1-2
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.1
16
24
5
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
15
25
0
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.0
15
23
2
4
1
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.3
4
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
3
0
0-1
48%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.7
3
0
0-0
45%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
2
0
0-0
52%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.