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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 10, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Kings26%9786
13Bulls74%105104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
40
31
24
7
5
1
1
0
3
1
6
3-5
60%
9-14
5-10
64%
47%
1-4
25%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.0
36
32
11
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
35
36
15
8
8
0
2
1
2
1
7
5-10
50%
5-15
9-18
33%
48%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
22
24
3
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-6
33%
43%
0-3
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
19
25
7
7
0
0
0
0
0
2
5
1-2
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
49%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
26
14
11
3
4
0
0
0
2
3
0
1-2
50%
5-8
1-4
63%
42%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.4
24
12
6
7
1
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
18
19
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.7
15
13
3
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.3
3
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.3
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
59%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
17
0
2-4
47%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.6
38
32
26
16
3
0
0
0
1
2
14
4-4
100%
11-15
6-12
73%
51%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
33
32
23
1
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
9-13
6-12
69%
49%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.4
24
23
5
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.4
22
37
5
2
2
0
2
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-7
5-10
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.0
17
31
2
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.3
41
27
24
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
5-5
2-4
100%
50%
4-6
67%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.6
34
24
9
3
2
3
1
2
1
2
1
3-3
100%
3-8
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.1
14
17
4
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
12
9
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-5
20%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.0
1
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.1
1
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.