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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Knicks39%9783
28Magic61%10189
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.4
36.1
26.3
9
41%
2
7
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28.9
35.6
28.3
25
67%
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
4-6
67%
9-15
4-8
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
31.9
21.3
10
41%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
5-7
71%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-6
17%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
23.5
29.0
8
46%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
44%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.2
14.8
20.6
0
0%
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.4
18.3
22.3
2
30%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.7
18.1
2.8
3
50%
5
3
2
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
17.5
9.7
11
47%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
5-6
83%
3-9
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
16.1
4.9
3
30%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.2
14.4
17.9
5
44%
4
1
0
0
0
3
3
1
5-6
83%
0-3
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.3
12.8
5.9
5
32%
3
0
2
0
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
51%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
0.9
8.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
3.2
0
0-1
47%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
40.7
31.9
28
62%
18
0
0
1
0
4
2
16
4-6
67%
12-20
8-14
60%
54%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.8
38.1
34.8
19
60%
5
4
1
2
1
3
1
4
11-11
100%
4-9
6-11
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.0
33.2
30.0
12
59%
5
4
2
2
0
3
2
3
4-5
80%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.3
28.0
23.8
5
42%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
51%
1-1
100%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.7
9.8
18.1
3
50%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
23.9
18.0
13
67%
0
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
20.7
11.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
6
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
16.8
15.6
1
13%
7
1
1
1
1
3
0
7
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.0
14.8
8.4
4
67%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.4
7.3
17.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
6.7
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
7.3
0
1-1
53%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.