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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Hawks62%10588
23Celtics38%10189
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
36
32
4
5
2
0
1
1
2
0
5
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-5
20%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
36
30
22
12
3
0
1
1
1
1
11
0-0
-
11-13
7-12
85%
55%
0-2
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
34
30
11
7
3
2
1
0
1
1
6
5-8
63%
3-8
4-8
38%
51%
0-3
0%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.5
34
31
14
7
3
3
1
0
0
0
7
4-5
80%
2-8
2-4
25%
54%
2-7
29%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
33
31
10
0
8
1
1
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.6
24
25
9
4
2
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
3-5
60%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.4
17
18
8
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.6
16
19
9
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
1-1
100%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.5
11
10
1
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.9
7
0
1-2
49%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
5
0
0-1
46%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.9
4
0
0-1
49%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
3
0
0-1
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
31
29
12
7
9
1
1
0
2
1
6
4-4
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
30
32
11
7
1
0
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
46%
1-5
20%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.9
28
28
17
15
2
1
1
1
1
5
10
4-4
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.9
26
34
11
2
3
1
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
2-7
29%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
22
23
4
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.0
27
11
7
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
43%
1-1
100%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.7
25
18
14
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
45%
4-6
67%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.5
17
9
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.1
17
20
6
5
1
0
0
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-7
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.6
16
27
2
5
1
2
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
51%
0-3
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.0
3
0
0-0
40%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
3
0
0-0
48%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.2
1
0
0-0
43%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.