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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
104
19Pistons
87
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.7
32
29
17
3
6
0
1
0
5
1
2
5-5
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
31
26
19
8
4
2
1
2
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
5-10
50%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
28
33
8
6
4
4
2
2
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-10
5-9
20%
54%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
24
14
12
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
2-4
75%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.8
18
29
8
3
1
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-11
57%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.5
22
25
13
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
5-5
3-5
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
20
20
10
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
17
16
6
7
1
0
0
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
16
15
7
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
15
23
2
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
53%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
9
9
0
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
7
9
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.8
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.0
36
25
20
3
0
0
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
44%
2-5
40%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.5
34
29
10
9
0
0
1
2
0
4
5
2-6
33%
4-10
6-11
40%
54%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.3
34
30
22
3
6
0
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
6-12
3-8
50%
43%
2-6
33%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.7
30
32
6
6
2
1
1
0
1
4
2
0-1
0%
3-10
6-13
30%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.8
27
28
0
3
1
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
30
24
7
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
19
24
9
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
3-3
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.9
13
10
2
6
0
0
0
1
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.2
12
13
9
0
6
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
37%
1-1
100%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.9
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.5
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.2
3
0
0-0
42%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.4
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.