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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Wizards34%9893
9Raptors66%10395
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.4
36
32
21
4
8
1
1
0
5
1
3
6-8
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
1-6
17%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.3
30
23
17
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
49%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
25
26
9
8
0
0
0
2
2
2
6
1-2
50%
4-8
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.4
25
23
14
4
3
4
1
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
7-8
4-8
88%
51%
0-0
-
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.7
21
16
6
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-3
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
29
11
10
12
3
0
0
0
2
5
7
0-0
-
5-11
1-3
45%
45%
0-1
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.8
27
21
3
6
2
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.7
18
20
5
3
3
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
1-4
25%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.2
17
17
6
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.9
12
11
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.0
14
0
2-5
48%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.2
8
0
0-1
46%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.8
5
0
1-1
51%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
35
33
23
3
2
3
1
0
3
1
2
10-10
100%
5-16
6-13
31%
45%
1-2
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
33
26
6
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
3
4-7
57%
1-2
4-6
50%
59%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.9
32
35
13
4
6
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
47%
3-7
43%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
19
19
6
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
16
28
6
5
0
0
0
0
3
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
34
21
27
4
1
2
1
1
0
0
4
7-7
100%
4-8
2-4
50%
46%
4-8
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.9
30
27
2
8
2
2
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
53%
0-3
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.1
19
21
11
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
3-5
60%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.0
13
20
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.3
8
7
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
3
0
0-1
49%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.7
2
0
0-0
45%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
1
0
0-0
53%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.4
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.