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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies36%9689
5Thunder64%101105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
30
32
16
11
4
1
1
0
3
6
5
6-6
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
28
30
11
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-11
3-7
27%
46%
1-2
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.0
26
31
8
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
4-4
100%
2-9
6-11
22%
48%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
18
28
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.3
18
29
8
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.1
27
25
9
6
2
1
2
0
2
0
6
1-3
33%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.0
24
19
6
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-2
0%
3-4
3-5
75%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.0
24
11
10
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
47%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
19
18
11
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
3-10
2-5
30%
51%
1-1
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.7
14
10
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.6
4
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
4
2
5
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-2
0-0
50%
39%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.1
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.4
34
35
26
10
3
1
1
3
0
0
10
4-4
100%
5-9
6-11
56%
54%
4-6
67%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
32
33
24
9
9
1
2
0
4
1
8
15-15
100%
3-12
7-16
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
23
16
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
22
30
7
7
1
0
0
3
2
2
5
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
17
21
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
56%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.3
28
18
15
9
2
0
0
2
0
5
4
2-2
100%
5-9
2-3
56%
53%
1-3
33%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
20
22
11
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
19
18
6
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.8
17
20
8
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.7
15
18
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
7
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.6
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.