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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 11, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Heat
93
3Cavaliers
113
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
40
32
17
7
2
2
1
2
4
2
5
4-4
100%
2-8
4-8
25%
47%
3-5
60%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
38
31
18
2
3
2
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
4-10
3-6
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
36
34
15
2
3
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
4-13
7-13
31%
51%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
28
19
17
14
0
1
0
0
1
7
7
1-3
33%
8-15
4-6
53%
55%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
25
21
6
2
8
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
41%
0-3
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.3
22
26
7
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
20
22
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
15
16
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
10
4
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
3-3
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.8
6
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-1
0%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.9
1
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
6
0
0-1
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.0
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
38
33
15
4
6
2
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
5-9
22%
50%
3-5
60%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.6
34
27
20
8
2
0
0
2
0
3
5
2-2
100%
9-11
4-7
82%
54%
0-0
-
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.4
33
30
10
4
7
3
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
2-6
33%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.1
31
32
18
9
7
1
1
0
5
0
9
6-7
86%
6-12
7-12
50%
58%
0-4
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.4
20
31
12
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
5
1-2
50%
4-4
4-7
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.9
36
25
17
9
0
0
0
0
4
2
7
3-4
75%
7-8
3-5
88%
52%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.6
23
22
13
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
3-4
75%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.4
16
17
2
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.8
5
6
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.4
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.4
1
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-1
100%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.2
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.0
5
0
0-0
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.