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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 19, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks35%10289
5Thunder65%107104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
36
31
8
7
2
1
1
0
3
1
6
0-0
-
1-7
4-7
14%
51%
2-5
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.3
35
28
7
0
4
6
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
47%
1-5
20%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.4
33
20
10
13
0
0
0
0
2
7
6
2-3
67%
4-10
2-4
40%
61%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.7
31
28
14
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
4
2-2
100%
6-13
5-9
46%
50%
0-3
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.0
29
19
5
2
6
0
1
0
2
1
1
1-2
50%
2-9
2-5
22%
46%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.0
18
25
13
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
46%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.4
17
21
8
5
1
2
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
2-4
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
14
31
7
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-8
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.5
13
15
11
2
0
2
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
8
13
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
7
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
13
0
1-2
58%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
6
0
1-1
43%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
38
27
21
22
0
0
0
0
3
7
15
5-6
83%
8-12
3-6
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.4
37
34
12
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-8
6-11
25%
54%
2-6
33%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
36
33
34
5
10
2
2
0
6
2
3
14-14
100%
7-13
7-15
54%
48%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.3
26
21
2
9
1
1
1
0
2
4
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-2
0%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.2
15
19
4
12
1
0
1
0
2
6
6
0-2
0%
2-7
1-2
29%
56%
0-2
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
29
18
16
2
0
2
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
5-8
2-3
63%
49%
2-5
40%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
27
21
8
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.7
18
16
4
3
0
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
2-5
2-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.4
10
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.7
5
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
1-2
50%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.6
20
0
2-4
55%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.8
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.6
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.6
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.