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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat73%100111
29Knicks27%9187
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
37
33
13
6
7
8
2
0
1
0
6
4-5
80%
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
1-7
14%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.8
34
34
13
8
8
2
1
0
5
4
4
7-8
88%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
28
7
13
5
2
0
0
1
0
0
5
2-6
33%
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
1-1
100%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
22
27
12
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
4-10
7-13
40%
53%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
20
23
12
9
1
1
1
2
3
3
6
4-6
67%
4-7
5-8
57%
57%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
34
22
18
7
6
1
1
0
7
0
7
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
4-5
80%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
23
16
14
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
21
21
12
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
62%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.6
21
10
4
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-1
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
35
1
7-13
53%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.0
11
0
1-1
53%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
37
26
19
3
4
2
1
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
45%
3-5
60%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.4
30
30
11
1
9
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-3
33%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
0-3
0%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.8
23
10
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.0
23
30
4
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.2
11
18
9
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
30
25
17
3
4
2
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
3-5
60%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
24
13
11
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
5-6
83%
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
19
24
2
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-9
3-7
11%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
17
3
4
3
3
2
0
3
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
14
5
4
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.3
13
9
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.4
20
1
2-3
46%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.2
2
0
0-0
44%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.