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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets43%103100
7Mavericks57%106111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
37.3
37.2
26
66%
7
5
2
2
0
6
1
6
11-13
85%
3-9
6-11
33%
50%
3-5
60%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
36.9
35.4
16
47%
5
3
0
2
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
4-11
36%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.6
27.8
29.6
3
21%
3
4
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
21.4
25.5
7
44%
8
1
0
1
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
55%
1-1
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
11.2
13.5
6
100%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.1
29.6
16.9
9
51%
9
2
1
0
4
1
3
6
3-4
75%
3-7
3-5
43%
55%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.2
26.3
29.2
15
55%
4
1
0
1
1
5
2
2
0-4
0%
6-9
4-9
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
25.6
23.6
10
38%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
2-5
40%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-5
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.4
22.9
15.5
8
50%
3
2
4
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
2-7
29%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
1.1
14.5
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
18.7
1
2-4
45%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
8.9
1
0-0
48%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
1.9
0
0-1
48%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.4
35.0
25.0
10
56%
14
0
1
1
0
4
5
9
0-0
-
5-9
3-5
56%
61%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.3
34.5
32.5
12
43%
2
4
2
2
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
5-12
5-11
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
29.4
33.9
13
60%
4
3
2
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.7
26.7
29.3
12
46%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
6-12
5-10
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.0
20.9
22.2
13
60%
0
3
0
1
0
6
0
0
1-4
25%
6-9
3-6
67%
46%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.4
29.9
17.8
17
67%
12
1
0
1
2
0
5
7
4-4
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
49%
1-4
25%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.0
29.6
19.6
17
47%
6
7
2
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
46%
3-9
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.5
13.8
13.0
13
111%
4
1
1
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
3-3
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
12.5
18.5
0
0%
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
7.6
7.9
4
106%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
47%
1-1
100%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
8.1
0
1-1
49%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
5.2
0
1-1
58%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.