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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 20, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs31%9999
1Warriors69%106110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
25.1
23.5
12
50%
10
2
1
0
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
6-12
3-7
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.8
21.4
30.0
8
41%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
3-8
6-12
38%
47%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.8
20.9
32.4
2
20%
1
6
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
6-12
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
20.6
26.9
4
41%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.6
18.8
27.8
12
76%
6
0
0
2
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
4-6
4-8
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
23.1
13.7
8
58%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1-2
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.8
21.2
17.4
11
79%
5
1
0
0
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
1-2
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
19.1
23.1
9
56%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.6
17.6
22.9
8
57%
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
47%
0-2
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.1
16.2
16.4
8
68%
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
12.0
4.5
8
59%
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3-4
75%
1-4
1-1
25%
50%
1-1
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
12.0
3.6
2
53%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.4
12.0
2.1
7
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.8
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
33.1
32.1
11
48%
6
4
3
2
0
1
0
6
0-1
0%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
3-6
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
32.8
30.6
20
53%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-10
4-9
40%
49%
3-7
43%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.9
31.9
33.0
25
65%
4
11
4
2
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
4-8
50%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
28.1
24.4
16
73%
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
2-4
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.2
24.4
26.4
4
50%
6
3
0
1
3
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
27.2
25.5
14
79%
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-2
0%
1-2
2-3
50%
53%
4-6
67%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.8
18.6
16.3
11
81%
4
1
2
0
1
1
1
3
1-4
25%
5-5
3-5
100%
52%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.4
16.1
14.0
0
0%
4
2
0
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.2
13.4
16.2
5
50%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.5
7.8
14.9
4
52%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
50%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
3.0
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.9
1.8
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
1.8
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.8
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.