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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bucks27%9571
11Bulls73%10487
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
35
12
15
11
2
1
0
1
0
2
9
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
3-8
38%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.5
35
33
17
6
2
3
1
0
0
1
5
1-1
100%
8-18
4-8
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
32
30
8
8
5
1
1
0
3
2
6
0-2
0%
4-10
3-8
40%
45%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.2
31
31
11
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
5-6
83%
3-10
4-9
30%
50%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.2
16
19
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-3
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
34
26
9
4
3
1
1
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
1-4
25%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
18
33
0
1
1
2
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.5
16
16
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.5
14
11
5
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.0
6
20
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.7
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.4
9
0
1-3
40%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.4
38
34
11
9
4
0
2
2
3
2
7
2-2
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.4
33
28
8
5
8
0
1
1
3
3
2
5-6
83%
0-6
5-11
0%
48%
1-7
14%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.0
33
33
8
16
2
0
1
0
2
6
10
2-2
100%
3-9
3-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.6
29
30
15
10
1
0
0
1
2
3
7
5-8
63%
5-8
6-11
63%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.4
20
24
4
4
2
2
0
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.3
31
19
20
2
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
52%
4-6
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
31
12
16
14
1
1
0
2
3
3
11
6-8
75%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
2-6
33%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.1
19
19
4
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
0-3
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.5
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.1
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.