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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets49%102110
25Nuggets51%10382
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.1
45.2
12.9
10
39%
11
2
2
0
4
1
2
9
2-2
100%
4-8
1-3
50%
44%
0-4
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
33.2
35.4
16
48%
5
12
1
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-13
4-9
46%
46%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.4
28.3
30.9
13
72%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.7
28.2
33.0
12
46%
8
0
0
1
3
1
0
8
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
0-4
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
16.3
19.1
14
85%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
5-6
3-5
83%
61%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.9
31.7
30.8
19
46%
9
0
0
1
0
0
6
3
7-8
88%
6-16
8-15
38%
52%
0-1
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
23.6
16.2
15
63%
5
1
2
1
1
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
48%
1-2
50%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.1
14.8
7.6
4
50%
3
4
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.3
9.7
3.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.2
8.9
7.7
7
72%
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
47%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
32.7
1
3-5
51%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
11.5
0
2-3
48%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.4
4.5
0
1-1
52%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.3
31.9
20.5
6
38%
5
10
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-2
0%
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.5
30.4
24.3
22
77%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
5-5
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
3-5
60%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.4
26.1
10.8
10
38%
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1-3
33%
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
1-6
17%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.5
25.3
28.2
7
32%
10
1
1
1
0
1
4
6
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
49%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
23.0
17.9
10
33%
7
0
0
1
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
5-15
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.1
21.5
21.5
15
59%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
20.4
11.9
0
0%
9
2
2
0
0
3
3
6
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.4
20.0
19.5
5
28%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
1-5
20%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.8
14.9
9.1
3
25%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
12.8
21.9
4
35%
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-4
50%
1-4
4-7
25%
54%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.0
11.5
18.6
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.5
2.3
13.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
25.1
1
3-6
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.