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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 23, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Celtics31%102115
12Suns69%108110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.1
36.1
29.4
12
42%
6
0
0
0
1
1
2
4
2-3
67%
5-13
6-11
38%
52%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
31.8
32.4
10
56%
8
4
1
1
0
3
2
6
1-2
50%
3-6
4-9
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
29.8
34.2
18
66%
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
4-6
67%
7-11
6-11
64%
48%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.2
29.4
37.2
23
73%
4
3
6
1
0
2
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
5-11
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.0
23.7
29.7
8
46%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.6
28.5
24.6
12
46%
7
4
2
1
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
51%
4-9
44%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.0
27.2
22.9
21
55%
1
7
1
1
0
5
0
1
6-7
86%
3-8
3-5
38%
46%
3-8
38%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.5
18.6
12.7
8
84%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
15.0
7.5
3
38%
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.0
5.6
0
0-1
48%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.0
3.5
0
0-1
39%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.2
3.1
0
0-1
44%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.2
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.8
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 25.2
39.3
32.2
21
53%
7
10
2
2
1
6
2
5
3-4
75%
6-13
5-9
46%
51%
2-5
40%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.8
35.2
26.7
13
53%
12
0
2
1
0
4
3
9
5-5
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
51%
0-3
0%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 23.2
33.7
17.7
20
53%
1
4
0
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
46%
4-11
36%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.7
31.6
30.1
10
71%
12
0
0
1
6
0
1
11
0-0
-
5-7
4-7
71%
55%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.5
30.1
36.1
7
39%
3
6
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
7-15
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.5
18.5
27.4
5
31%
3
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
52%
1-5
20%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
17.0
18.1
11
87%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-3
100%
4-5
3-4
80%
66%
0-0
-
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.5
13.9
12.5
10
46%
4
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
1-2
50%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
8.7
6.2
8
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.7
8.0
5.9
3
26%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 33.5
3.9
2.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.1
18.3
1
2-5
49%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.9
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.