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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat
93
28Magic
90
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
41
31
8
4
5
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
52%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
40
31
21
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
6
4-6
67%
7-12
4-8
58%
49%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
37
25
18
2
6
3
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
5-15
6-12
33%
52%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
37
25
15
13
0
0
1
3
0
4
9
5-8
63%
5-8
5-9
63%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
12
21
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
33
12
10
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
56%
2-11
18%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
33
29
8
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
1-8
13%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
15
18
4
5
1
1
0
1
3
0
5
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
61%
0-1
0%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
12
18
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
4
19
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
8
0
1-2
44%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.7
2
0
0-0
45%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.8
42
34
13
13
4
0
2
0
4
2
11
5-6
83%
4-10
5-11
40%
49%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
41
35
26
8
0
1
1
0
4
2
6
6-9
67%
10-21
9-17
48%
54%
0-0
-
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.0
39
33
3
5
9
1
2
0
3
1
4
1-4
25%
1-8
4-8
13%
47%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
39
32
12
8
0
1
1
1
2
2
6
2-2
100%
2-5
5-9
40%
51%
2-6
33%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
14
18
5
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
29
27
12
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
2-6
33%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.3
26
22
10
1
2
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-3
2-5
100%
50%
1-3
33%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
17
13
3
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
1-4
25%
1-2
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.0
9
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.4
9
10
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
10
0
1-3
47%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
3
0
0-1
54%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
2
0
0-1
46%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.