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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Mavericks37%10187
8Hawks63%105104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
31
22
10
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
2-6
1-3
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.3
30
35
19
2
2
0
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
8-9
6-12
89%
46%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
30
16
13
5
7
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
43%
1-3
33%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.0
27
4
7
11
3
0
0
2
1
7
4
3-4
75%
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.7
25
29
4
5
4
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
5-10
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.4
27
25
2
5
0
0
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-4
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.5
22
10
8
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.0
20
25
10
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
9
6
6
6
0
0
0
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.1
9
4
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-1
0%
2-3
0-1
67%
58%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
9
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.4
29
1
4-6
60%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
15
0
3-5
50%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.0
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
34
31
16
6
3
0
1
2
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
4-10
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
33
30
15
8
2
1
1
0
4
3
5
0-0
-
6-10
5-9
60%
51%
1-2
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
27
30
11
8
6
2
1
0
1
2
6
3-4
75%
4-10
6-12
40%
55%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
27
30
13
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
54%
2-5
40%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
26
27
11
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
50%
1-3
33%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.7
23
21
7
4
2
3
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.4
21
23
17
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
48%
3-5
60%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
17
11
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.6
17
19
5
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.8
7
7
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
1-2
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
4
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.0
3
0
0-1
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.