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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 25, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Grizzlies70%10190
27Kings30%94102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
36.4
31.7
14
50%
7
6
0
1
3
3
1
6
6-9
67%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
36.4
31.1
12
39%
3
7
3
1
0
5
1
2
3-3
100%
3-10
4-9
30%
49%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
32.1
28.2
9
41%
4
3
2
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
51%
1-6
17%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
30.4
32.8
20
79%
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
5-6
83%
6-9
7-13
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
30.1
28.8
11
53%
3
2
0
1
0
1
3
0
3-3
100%
4-8
4-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.1
26.4
27.4
9
46%
5
0
3
2
0
2
4
1
1-2
50%
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.0
17.1
18.2
0
0%
9
1
1
0
2
0
4
5
0-0
-
0-5
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.0
12.8
15.3
7
50%
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.8
11.6
7.9
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
5.6
11.9
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
0.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.7
0.5
1.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.1
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
34.9
32.7
28
63%
5
6
1
1
0
2
2
3
3-5
60%
11-15
5-10
73%
47%
1-5
20%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
32.8
22.3
10
43%
11
1
1
0
4
2
5
6
4-6
67%
3-9
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.0
31.8
32.2
16
53%
0
0
2
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
5-10
2-5
50%
48%
2-5
40%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
24.4
29.8
16
51%
9
6
1
1
1
2
2
7
4-6
67%
6-13
7-15
46%
48%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
22.8
22.3
10
57%
1
3
3
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.8
26.7
9.9
2
100%
11
1
2
0
0
2
2
9
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.9
26.0
20.2
4
50%
6
7
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
22.1
26.8
6
44%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
15.5
17.8
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.4
3.1
10.4
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.4
9.2
0
1-1
43%
David Stockton
G · 5'11" 165 · 23.7
5.3
0
0-1
39%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
4.1
0
0-1
60%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.