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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Thursday
February 26, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
99
2Cavaliers
110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.0
37.6
30.7
16
53%
8
4
5
1
0
1
3
5
2-5
40%
7-9
2-5
78%
49%
0-4
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.0
33.8
26.1
18
47%
3
6
1
1
0
4
0
3
5-5
100%
2-8
4-7
25%
52%
3-9
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
33.6
33.8
13
50%
7
4
0
1
3
3
1
6
0-0
-
2-8
5-10
25%
48%
3-5
60%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.7
28.2
28.6
11
51%
7
3
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-2
0%
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
3-5
60%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.2
20.6
22.9
6
38%
5
2
0
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.1
29.5
28.8
9
50%
5
6
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
53%
1-3
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.8
20.7
18.2
19
72%
4
2
0
0
1
2
2
2
3-5
60%
8-11
3-6
73%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.2
14.5
15.2
5
50%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.5
13.5
17.5
0
0%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.6
7.2
10.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.9
0.7
3.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.3
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
3.2
0
0-0
48%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.8
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
37.8
30.8
24
56%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
10-10
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
2-8
25%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.5
37.5
30.0
16
68%
8
1
0
1
0
2
0
8
3-4
75%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
3-5
60%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.2
36.2
32.4
42
70%
11
5
3
1
1
6
1
10
8-11
73%
11-16
7-13
69%
56%
4-9
44%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
35.8
24.6
4
34%
4
5
4
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.6
24.8
22.3
10
56%
10
2
1
0
1
2
0
10
2-2
100%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.7
31.2
26.9
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.0
21.7
24.2
12
69%
8
0
0
0
0
2
3
5
4-6
67%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
10.2
18.4
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
2.2
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.4
0.7
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.5
0.7
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.2
0.7
3.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.0
0.7
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.