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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Magic
88
8Hawks
95
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.6
37
33
15
4
1
2
1
1
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.3
37
35
21
15
3
1
1
1
4
5
10
1-2
50%
10-16
9-17
63%
50%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.8
35
35
19
3
6
0
2
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
6-13
5-11
46%
46%
2-5
40%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.0
26
33
4
1
5
2
2
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
43%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
24
15
10
3
3
1
0
2
4
1
2
1-1
100%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
3-8
38%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.6
28
26
9
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
14
3
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 34.0
13
9
2
1
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.5
11
14
4
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
10
6
2
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.9
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.4
7
0
0-1
43%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.9
2
0
0-1
42%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.3
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
35
31
20
4
3
1
2
1
2
1
3
0-2
0%
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
4-7
57%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.9
35
32
8
3
2
1
1
2
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
2-5
40%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
33
26
17
0
7
2
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
31
28
15
8
2
3
1
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
55%
3-6
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
31
28
17
13
4
2
1
0
1
5
8
3-4
75%
7-9
6-11
78%
56%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.7
24
22
7
1
2
2
1
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.6
17
18
2
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.5
14
22
3
2
3
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-6
4-7
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
14
15
3
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
7
8
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
5
0
0-1
51%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
4
0
1-1
53%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.