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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Knicks
121
19Pistons
115
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.3
36
24
25
12
4
1
0
1
0
1
11
4-5
80%
9-18
4-8
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.2
35
20
17
14
2
0
1
3
1
9
5
1-1
100%
8-16
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 23.2
34
36
12
6
5
2
1
1
2
1
5
5-5
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.0
32
28
18
2
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
46%
2-5
40%
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 23.9
20
19
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 22.4
36
6
16
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
5-5
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
44%
1-3
33%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.0
29
25
9
4
3
0
0
0
3
2
2
1-1
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
47%
0-0
-
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
23
13
7
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
3-3
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 26.2
20
11
11
5
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
3-10
1-2
30%
41%
1-2
50%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 24.4
9
15
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 26.3
9
5
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
1-1
20%
50%
0-0
-
Travis Wear
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.4
6
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 33.4
31
1
3-6
46%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.7
44
34
28
13
2
2
1
2
1
4
9
10-15
67%
9-13
7-13
69%
52%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.0
42
30
19
6
3
1
1
2
1
2
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
3-11
27%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.9
41
27
16
5
5
0
1
0
4
1
4
5-5
100%
4-19
4-8
21%
51%
1-5
20%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.5
41
33
21
15
1
0
1
4
3
6
9
3-7
43%
9-11
7-12
82%
57%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 35.0
20
19
0
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.5
33
18
16
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-6
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
2-4
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
24
25
6
5
0
0
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.0
21
20
2
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-2
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 32.3
17
6
4
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
42%
0-1
0%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.0
6
5
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.9
14
1
1-3
50%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.3
9
0
0-1
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
1
0
0-0
53%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.4
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.