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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Nets26%9898
6Rockets74%106102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.7
40.0
33.3
13
44%
9
6
1
1
0
1
0
9
3-4
75%
5-11
4-9
45%
47%
0-2
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.4
37.0
30.2
13
84%
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.1
35.4
29.8
14
54%
4
1
2
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
41%
2-5
40%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.7
34.3
32.7
15
46%
5
3
3
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
22.5
15.6
15
72%
4
0
1
1
2
2
2
2
1-1
100%
7-10
3-4
70%
58%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.3
22.6
19.8
4
22%
1
5
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.9
22.1
32.1
12
44%
12
1
0
1
1
3
8
4
4-4
100%
4-12
8-15
33%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.7
16.3
23.9
9
64%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
4-8
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 24.2
9.9
5.1
3
80%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.9
11.2
0
1-2
48%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.2
6.7
0
1-1
43%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.3
5.3
0
0-1
45%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.4
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
38.3
34.7
15
41%
5
12
1
2
0
4
0
5
7-7
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
51%
0-4
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
36.6
32.8
20
87%
5
2
2
2
0
2
0
5
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
5-9
56%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.1
36.3
27.7
26
73%
12
0
0
1
1
2
3
9
4-4
100%
11-15
5-8
73%
56%
0-1
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.6
34.5
12.5
9
48%
4
3
3
0
0
1
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
2-7
29%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
23.7
29.6
11
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
4-9
5-9
44%
56%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.2
28.6
25.4
10
46%
9
2
0
1
4
2
1
8
0-2
0%
5-5
3-7
100%
48%
0-5
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
16.5
25.3
6
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-7
4-7
43%
52%
0-2
0%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
12.2
12.7
0
0%
1
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
11.0
25.5
5
133%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
1-1
100%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
2.2
6.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
2.5
0
0-0
47%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.0
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.2
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.