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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers44%10097
5Grizzlies56%10279
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.6
41.2
34.7
15
56%
22
3
2
1
3
1
6
16
7-17
41%
4-6
5-8
67%
66%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.7
40.8
30.7
18
65%
3
0
0
1
2
2
1
2
4-4
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
2-5
40%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.8
39.5
35.6
19
60%
4
13
2
2
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
50%
1-4
25%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 26.8
24.2
27.9
7
39%
4
3
2
0
2
3
1
3
0-2
0%
2-5
3-5
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.0
24.2
31.4
13
59%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
3-6
50%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.9
28.6
28.3
19
58%
5
1
0
1
2
0
0
5
1-1
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
44%
2-5
40%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 29.2
23.9
14.5
6
50%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.6
14.7
15.0
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 24.4
0.8
7.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 24.2
0.7
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 34.2
0.7
2.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27.8
0.7
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.9
8.9
0
0-1
43%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
36.1
31.2
20
56%
10
1
1
1
0
2
2
8
0-0
-
10-18
6-12
56%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
32.0
29.4
12
64%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-3
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
51%
3-5
60%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
30.6
33.3
11
43%
8
1
1
1
2
3
2
6
1-2
50%
5-12
6-12
42%
50%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
25.6
33.0
4
18%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
4-9
25%
49%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
16.2
28.6
2
14%
3
1
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-3
67%
0-5
3-7
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.1
28.3
26.6
8
47%
2
3
1
2
1
0
1
1
0-1
0%
4-7
3-7
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
24.0
9.0
6
43%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.1
16.2
14.0
3
22%
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.0
15.7
17.6
9
65%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
1-2
50%
4-6
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.8
11.8
9.7
4
41%
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.6
1.7
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.7
1.7
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.1
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.