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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 27, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs75%105107
26Kings25%9696
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.7
36
29
17
7
5
1
2
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
6-11
4-8
55%
54%
1-3
33%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.8
30
25
19
5
4
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-4
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
50%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.8
29
27
12
6
3
0
1
1
1
1
5
4-6
67%
4-13
5-10
31%
50%
0-0
-
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.2
24
15
6
9
0
1
0
3
0
3
6
2-3
67%
2-8
2-4
25%
55%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.7
12
26
8
3
2
4
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.9
27
21
8
3
0
1
0
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.9
20
21
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.6
20
17
16
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
50%
2-5
40%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.2
18
21
8
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
6-6
100%
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
12
14
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.5
8
12
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.9
3
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 28.5
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.8
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.5
36
33
16
6
4
1
1
0
8
2
4
4-4
100%
6-15
5-11
40%
47%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.7
36
22
20
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
10-16
2-5
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.0
35
31
21
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
10-12
83%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.6
33
28
12
11
2
0
0
1
1
3
8
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.4
18
6
8
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.7
24
24
6
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
3-9
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.8
21
21
3
11
1
0
1
0
3
1
10
3-4
75%
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.9
17
23
10
5
3
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.4
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
61%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.8
8
16
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.4
5
0
0-1
43%
David Stockton
G · 5'11" 165 · 23.7
4
0
0-1
40%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.5
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 23.2
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.