Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	7	Hawks	56%	99	93	95.9	97	101.7
	15	Heat	44%	97	91	92.9	98	93.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	38.5	22	65%	5	4	2	0	4	4	0	5	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	35.6	7	39%	6	3	4	1	2	4	0	6	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	35.4	16	47%	4	10	2	0	5	0	2	2	5-6	83%	4-13	31%	1-1	100%
Kent Bazemore F · 6'5" 201 · 26	35.2	15	68%	2	1	3	0	3	5	0	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Elton Brand C · 6'9" 254 · 36	29.1	7	44%	8	2	0	0	0	3	4	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	21.8	12	100%	7	0	1	0	2	2	0	7	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	15.9	9	75%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24	15.8	5	42%	1	1	0	4	0	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	12.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-3	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Horford C-F · 6'8" 240 · 29	\| NWT - Family Reasons
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Thabo Sefolosha #25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	37	23	12	5	18	0	8	29	15-20	75%	24-54	44%	10-25	40%

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7 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Paul Millsap F · 6'8" 246 · 30	38.5	22	65%	5	4	2	0	4	4	0	5	4-5	80%	6-11	55%	2-4	50%
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 34	35.6	7	39%	6	3	4	1	2	4	0	6	1-1	100%	0-2	0%	2-7	29%
Dennis Schröder G · 6'1" 175 · 21	35.4	16	47%	4	10	2	0	5	0	2	2	5-6	83%	4-13	31%	1-1	100%
Kent Bazemore F · 6'5" 201 · 26	35.2	15	68%	2	1	3	0	3	5	0	2	1-2	50%	4-7	57%	2-3	67%
Elton Brand C · 6'9" 254 · 36	29.1	7	44%	8	2	0	0	0	3	4	4	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	0-0	-

John Jenkins G · 6'4" 215 · 24	21.8	12	100%	7	0	1	0	2	2	0	7	1-1	100%	1-2	50%	3-4	75%
Mike Scott F · 6'8" 237 · 27	15.9	9	75%	3	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	1-2	50%	4-4	100%	0-1	0%
Mike Muscala F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24	15.8	5	42%	1	1	0	4	0	0	1	0	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	0-2	0%
Shelvin Mack G · 6'3" 203 · 25	12.7	0	0%	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-4	0%	0-3	0%
Jeff Teague G · 6'2" 189 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Al Horford C-F · 6'8" 240 · 29	\| NWT - Family Reasons
DeMarre Carroll F · 6'8" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Pero Antic F-C · 6'11" 260 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Thabo Sefolosha #25 · F · 6'7" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	37	23	12	5	18	0	8	29	15-20	75%	24-54	44%	10-25	40%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	39.8	8	50%	4	1	0	0	8	0	2	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	2-5	40%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 29	35.1	6	38%	3	6	2	0	3	1	1	2	2-2	100%	2-5	40%	0-2	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	33.8	14	88%	24	0	0	2	1	2	8	16	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	31.0	22	58%	4	4	3	0	4	1	1	3	4-4	100%	9-16	56%	0-1	0%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 27	26.3	10	29%	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	2	2-2	100%	1-5	20%	2-11	18%

Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	34.8	16	53%	1	4	5	1	2	3	0	1	4-5	80%	3-9	33%	2-4	50%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 26	25.2	9	38%	3	0	2	0	3	6	1	2	0-0	-	3-9	33%	1-3	33%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	13.9	6	100%	6	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	4-4	100%	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Zoran Dragic G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	47	17	12	3	23	0	14	33	20-21	95%	25-55	45%	7-26	27%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.02 51.1%

MIA

0.99 49.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

16

26

62%

MIA

15

29

52%

Midrange

ATL

8

28

29%

MIA

10

26

38%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10

15.0

25

40%

60%

MIA

7

10.5

26

27%

40%

Free Throws

ATL

15

20

75%

MIA

20

21

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
P. Millsap	22	65%	11.0 / 17
D. Schröder	16	47%	8.0 / 17
K. Bazemore	15	68%	7.5 / 11
J. Jenkins	12	100%	6.0 / 6
M. Scott	9	75%	4.5 / 6
K. Korver	7	39%	3.5 / 9
E. Brand	7	44%	3.5 / 8
M. Muscala	5	42%	2.5 / 6
S. Mack	0	-	0.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	22	58%	11.0 / 19
M. Chalmers	16	53%	8.0 / 15
H. Whiteside	14	88%	7.0 / 8
H. Walker	10	29%	5.0 / 17
M. Beasley	9	38%	4.5 / 12
L. Deng	8	50%	4.0 / 8
G. Dragic	6	38%	3.0 / 8
U. Haslem	6	100%	3.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 108.9 21 103.9	ATL 95.9 +3.0 MIA 92.9
Pace	12 94.0 29 91.0	ATL 101.7 +8.0 MIA 93.7
Avg. Poss. Time	17 15.1 2 16.3	ATL 14.2 −1.2 MIA 15.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	3 52.7% 12 50.0%	ATL 49.4% +5.6% MIA 43.8%
TO %	16 14.3% 24 15.2%	ATL 18.6% −1.7% MIA 20.3%
ORB %	30 21.4% 26 23.3%	ATL 19.5% MIA 32.6% +13.1%
FTrt	21 25.9 4 30.6	ATL 25.3 MIA 25.9 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	1 67.6% 22 56.4%	ATL 67.6% +14.5% MIA 53.1%
STL %	4 9.6% 8 8.6%	ATL 12.4% +0.2% MIA 12.2%
BLK %	11 8.1% 12 8.0%	ATL 9.1% +3.5% MIA 5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.7% 13 52.2%	ATL 51.1% +1.6% MIA 49.5%
Rim FG%	12 58.1% 8 59.7%	ATL 61.5% +9.8% MIA 51.7%
Mid FG%	2 42.2% 8 40.9%	ATL 28.6% MIA 38.5% +9.9%
3P %	2 38.0% 24 33.5%	ATL 40.0% +13.1% MIA 26.9%
FT %	5 77.8% 22 74.1%	ATL 75.0% MIA 95.2% +20.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	14 36.1% 18 35.1%	ATL 32.9% MIA 35.8% +2.9%
Mid Att. %	5 31.8% 22 38.7%	ATL 35.4% MIA 32.1% −3.3%
3P Att. %	4 32.1% 17 26.2%	ATL 31.6% MIA 32.1% +0.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	97	98
Possession Minutes	22.9	25.1
Points	93	91
Rebounds	37	47
Assists	23	17
Steals	12	12
Blocks	5	3
Turnovers (Team)	18 (2)	23 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (3)	14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	33 (2)
Field Goals	34-79	32-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	15-29
Midrange FG	8-28	10-26
2-Point FG	24-54	25-55
3-Point FG	10-25	7-26
Free Throws	15-20	20-21
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg