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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 28, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Hawks55%9993
14Heat45%9791
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.0
39
32
22
5
4
2
1
0
4
0
5
4-5
80%
6-11
5-9
55%
51%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.0
36
32
7
6
3
4
1
1
2
0
6
1-1
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
49%
2-7
29%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.5
35
18
16
4
10
2
1
0
5
2
2
5-6
83%
4-13
3-6
31%
47%
1-1
100%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.7
35
22
15
2
1
3
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
2-3
67%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.0
29
4
7
8
2
0
0
0
0
4
4
1-2
50%
3-7
0-1
43%
49%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
22
4
12
7
0
1
0
0
2
0
7
1-1
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
50%
3-4
75%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.6
16
18
9
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-4
2-4
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
16
3
5
1
1
0
0
4
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
13
8
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
48%
0-3
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
29
1
4-8
50%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
29
1
6-11
56%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
29
1
2-4
54%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
14
0
1-2
49%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
40
34
8
4
1
0
1
0
8
2
2
2-2
100%
0-2
4-8
0%
48%
2-5
40%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
35
33
6
3
6
2
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
51%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
34
30
14
24
0
0
1
2
1
8
16
2-2
100%
6-8
5-10
75%
54%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
31
28
22
4
4
3
1
0
4
1
3
4-4
100%
9-16
7-13
56%
50%
0-1
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
26
24
10
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
52%
2-11
18%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
35
27
16
1
4
5
1
1
2
0
1
4-5
80%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.1
25
10
9
3
0
2
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
14
16
6
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
5
4-4
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
12
0
1-1
41%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
9
0
1-1
44%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
5
0
0-1
42%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.7
1
0
0-0
46%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.