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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 1, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Cavaliers43%104103
6Rockets57%106105
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
51
29
8
10
4
4
1
0
2
4
6
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
1-8
13%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.2
42
24
37
8
4
3
1
3
4
2
6
3-11
27%
11-23
5-10
48%
56%
4-12
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
42
23
3
3
4
2
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
39%
1-3
33%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.5
35
33
21
6
3
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
3-8
38%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.6
18
21
10
4
0
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.0
37
25
14
19
1
2
0
1
2
11
8
4-4
100%
5-9
3-5
56%
50%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.7
24
29
1
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.4
15
16
9
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
36%
3-6
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
24
1
3-7
47%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
8
0
1-1
43%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.0
6
0
0-0
43%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.5
2
0
0-0
44%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.3
2
0
0-0
47%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.1
44
31
19
7
0
0
1
0
0
3
4
6-9
67%
5-8
5-9
63%
56%
1-2
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
42
36
33
8
5
3
2
2
5
2
6
15-18
83%
6-12
5-9
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
42
34
4
7
3
4
2
2
3
0
7
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-3
0%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.6
35
22
12
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
31
27
16
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-10
4-8
50%
55%
2-4
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.2
31
26
10
3
4
2
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
19
21
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
2-2
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
14
19
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
1-3
33%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
6
12
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-1
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
5
0
1-1
52%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
2
0
0-0
46%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
2
0
0-0
46%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.2
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.