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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Celtics27%10279
2Cavaliers73%110110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.3
28
29
6
2
7
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.8
27
28
15
5
1
0
1
0
3
5
0
0-0
-
6-14
4-9
43%
48%
1-1
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
24
33
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.0
22
31
2
5
2
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-3
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.1
12
25
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
5-9
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.0
21
15
5
5
2
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.1
20
27
11
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-10
3-7
40%
47%
0-3
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.5
17
14
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
2-5
40%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
15
2
7
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
0-0
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
15
4
0
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.7
14
26
4
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
50%
0-2
0%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.3
13
2
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.0
12
2
5
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.9
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
26
17
18
2
5
2
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
50%
2-4
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.2
26
29
27
3
5
3
1
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
12-22
7-12
55%
58%
0-1
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.5
25
32
12
8
3
0
1
1
0
0
8
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
50%
2-6
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
23
34
12
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
2-4
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.6
20
19
10
6
3
0
0
3
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
54%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
25
28
0
5
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
41%
0-3
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.4
21
15
10
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
39%
2-4
50%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.7
17
26
0
6
2
1
1
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.0
17
28
10
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
4-4
3-6
100%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.5
15
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
54%
2-4
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
12
5
5
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
0
1-1
100%
2-7
0-1
29%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.0
12
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.3
2
0
0-0
48%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.