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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets49%10296
9Hawks51%103104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
37.7
34.8
9
38%
5
2
1
2
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-7
14%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.1
36.9
33.5
18
66%
8
2
0
1
3
1
3
5
2-6
33%
8-11
5-10
73%
54%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.4
34.8
27.0
14
47%
8
7
3
1
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
2-8
4-8
25%
53%
3-6
50%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.6
33.7
26.2
9
50%
5
7
1
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
3-8
38%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
30.8
19.6
8
29%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
4-11
3-5
36%
49%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
28.4
16.0
21
78%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
46%
4-8
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.2
24.4
26.4
14
50%
7
3
0
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
13.4
9.3
3
50%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
1-3
33%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
36.0
2
5-10
49%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
4.0
0
0-1
49%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
2.5
0
0-0
43%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.2
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.7
36.2
20.5
18
64%
8
1
0
1
3
3
2
6
0-0
-
9-14
4-8
64%
55%
0-0
-
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.6
35.3
20.2
11
80%
5
0
0
1
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.1
32.7
33.7
16
45%
14
4
2
2
1
2
2
12
4-4
100%
6-13
5-10
46%
50%
0-3
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.7
31.2
20.5
25
74%
2
6
1
1
0
5
1
1
9-11
82%
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
2-4
50%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.0
30.8
32.9
5
42%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
1-5
20%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.5
26.7
24.2
16
54%
4
8
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.7
20.1
26.6
1
9%
9
0
0
1
0
2
0
9
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
0-3
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.6
14.3
16.9
9
45%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
1-5
20%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.6
12.8
9.8
3
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
1-3
33%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.0
13.1
0
1-3
49%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
10.7
0
1-2
49%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.9
9.9
0
1-2
46%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.7
8.0
0
1-3
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.