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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 3, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks55%10195
26Nuggets45%100106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.6
37
33
20
7
6
2
2
1
0
1
6
5-5
100%
3-15
5-9
20%
50%
3-5
60%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 20.2
35
33
19
11
2
1
1
3
5
2
9
4-6
67%
6-9
5-9
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.4
33
23
11
4
5
0
1
1
2
0
4
2-4
50%
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
30
28
21
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
3-6
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.1
13
21
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
46%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.2
26
19
10
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
3
2-5
40%
4-7
3-6
57%
55%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
22
24
7
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.6
20
18
2
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
53%
0-3
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.5
15
14
5
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.5
8
8
0
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.3
19
1
2-5
47%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.8
3
0
0-1
47%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.0
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
37
29
26
7
0
1
1
1
3
0
7
6-6
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
45%
4-9
44%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
32
22
14
14
0
0
1
2
1
2
12
4-5
80%
5-10
4-7
50%
52%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.3
31
29
16
2
10
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
48%
2-5
40%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
30
27
12
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
2-5
40%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.4
28
22
9
1
5
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
3-8
38%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
22
27
2
3
3
2
1
1
3
0
3
2-5
40%
0-1
3-8
0%
45%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.5
18
15
6
10
2
0
0
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.1
15
15
9
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
44%
0-3
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
14
7
8
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
45%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.8
7
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
6
17
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
17
0
2-4
46%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.5
12
1
2-4
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.