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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 4, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers48%104120
9Raptors52%105112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.9
40.5
21.6
26
65%
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-7
100%
8-12
3-6
67%
48%
1-5
20%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.2
37.5
28.1
29
67%
6
14
0
1
0
3
1
5
8-13
62%
6-10
7-12
60%
56%
3-6
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 29.5
36.9
29.6
15
63%
8
1
1
1
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
3-8
38%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.5
33.6
28.7
22
79%
10
1
1
1
0
0
3
7
6-9
67%
2-3
3-7
67%
48%
4-7
57%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.6
22.8
19.7
10
51%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
53%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.4
20.9
17.2
14
84%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
0-0
0-1
-
38%
4-7
57%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 24.7
20.6
22.6
2
25%
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.0
18.8
23.7
0
0%
1
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.5
8.5
26.6
2
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.3
8.4
0
1-2
44%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.0
7.9
0
0-0
44%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.5
7.2
0
0-1
46%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.3
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.8
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.1
39.6
26.0
6
38%
3
13
2
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
39.4
34.4
25
62%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
8-16
7-15
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.8
31.3
23.9
4
29%
8
3
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
59%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.8
30.8
25.4
26
73%
11
1
0
0
2
1
4
7
2-2
100%
12-17
4-7
71%
56%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.0
18.7
23.7
11
61%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
56%
1-2
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.4
29.4
27.5
26
113%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
8-8
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
47%
4-4
100%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 24.1
25.6
23.0
12
67%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
2-5
40%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
19.0
26.2
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-3
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.3
6.2
11.2
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.7
4.0
0
0-1
47%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.7
3.1
0
0-1
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.4
2.0
0
0-0
54%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.6
1.5
0
0-0
51%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.9
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.