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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 4, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies39%96102
6Rockets61%100100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.1
34
33
21
6
6
0
1
1
2
0
6
1-2
50%
10-13
6-12
77%
48%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.6
33
21
15
8
6
3
1
1
1
2
6
1-1
100%
7-12
4-8
58%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
33
29
12
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-8
43%
46%
2-5
40%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.4
33
33
17
2
6
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
5-7
4-9
71%
47%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.4
29
33
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-6
3-5
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.1
27
16
12
8
0
2
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
6-9
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Calathes
G · 6'6" 213 · 26.1
16
17
7
5
2
4
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.7
15
9
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
1-3
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.0
15
23
6
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
3-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.8
6
13
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.7
12
0
1-2
44%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 24.7
4
0
0-1
46%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.1
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.9
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
41
24
18
4
13
1
1
2
3
1
3
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
2-7
29%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
37
35
8
5
2
2
2
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-4
0%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.1
36
34
21
9
2
1
1
2
1
4
5
1-1
100%
10-14
6-10
71%
56%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.6
31
29
12
5
3
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
21
30
10
4
1
1
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-9
5-9
22%
54%
2-3
67%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
26
24
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.2
21
25
16
8
2
1
1
1
0
3
5
2-2
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
2-5
40%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
17
21
8
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
8
4
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
11
1
0-1
49%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
3
0
0-1
42%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
2
0
0-0
45%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.