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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 5, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Mavericks
75
9Trail Blazers
94
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
33
28
9
6
0
1
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.4
32
33
12
1
5
3
2
1
2
1
0
2-2
100%
5-19
5-12
26%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.4
32
21
4
14
1
1
0
1
0
4
10
2-2
100%
1-4
3-4
25%
61%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.0
29
26
10
7
9
1
1
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
5-12
3-7
42%
46%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.7
27
29
10
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
5-9
56%
49%
0-4
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.0
28
22
7
3
0
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
19
24
5
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
16
19
4
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
14
18
12
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
52%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.5
4
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
2
17
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 26.2
36
35
15
12
6
0
1
1
3
0
12
1-1
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
52%
2-5
40%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.6
34
37
17
12
0
0
1
0
0
2
10
2-2
100%
6-14
9-19
43%
47%
1-2
50%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.6
31
36
14
6
5
2
1
0
5
0
6
4-4
100%
2-5
5-10
40%
49%
2-5
40%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.9
26
28
13
7
1
1
0
3
1
4
3
3-4
75%
5-10
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.4
18
33
4
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
50%
0-3
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.4
29
27
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.9
16
15
6
7
1
1
0
0
3
1
6
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.0
15
12
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.3
13
6
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.8
9
3
6
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.5
8
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 28.1
2
8
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.0
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.