Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Heat	42%	95	97	102.1	95	101.5
	14	Wizards	58%	97	99	105.3	94	89.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 23	36.4	11	61%	5	3	1	0	2	2	3	2	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 27	32.6	8	33%	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-9	22%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 29	28.5	18	60%	5	7	1	0	4	4	2	3	3-7	43%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	26.9	6	33%	5	1	1	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	19.9	10	63%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 24	31.1	16	73%	2	4	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 25	29.2	11	92%	5	0	1	0	4	2	1	4	5-6	83%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 26	22.2	13	50%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37	13.2	4	40%	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Zoran Dragic #12 · G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	37	18	5	2	14	0	8	29	13-19	68%	27-52	52%	10-27	37%

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16 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 23	36.4	11	61%	5	3	1	0	2	2	3	2	1-2	50%	5-5	100%	0-3	0%
Henry Walker F · 6'6" 235 · 27	32.6	8	33%	4	0	0	0	1	4	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-9	22%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 29	28.5	18	60%	5	7	1	0	4	4	2	3	3-7	43%	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	26.9	6	33%	5	1	1	1	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	19.9	10	63%	2	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 24	31.1	16	73%	2	4	1	0	0	2	0	2	2-2	100%	1-4	25%	4-6	67%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 25	29.2	11	92%	5	0	1	0	4	2	1	4	5-6	83%	0-1	0%	2-2	100%
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 26	22.2	13	50%	3	2	0	0	2	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-9	56%	1-4	25%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37	13.2	4	40%	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Zoran Dragic #12 · G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	37	18	5	2	14	0	8	29	13-19	68%	27-52	52%	10-27	37%

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14 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 24	34.6	6	38%	7	12	3	2	0	1	1	6	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Bradley Beal G · 6'4" 207 · 22	33.0	17	65%	2	1	0	0	1	4	0	2	3-5	60%	4-7	57%	2-4	50%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	32.4	14	58%	17	1	0	2	1	1	4	13	0-0	-	7-12	58%	0-0	-
Nene F · 6'11" 250 · 32	32.4	20	63%	2	4	0	0	3	3	0	2	8-8	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 37	22.2	10	56%	3	1	0	0	3	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-6	33%

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 22	27.9	6	30%	3	1	0	0	2	3	1	2	0-0	-	3-8	38%	0-2	0%
Garrett Temple G-F · 6'5" 195 · 29	18.2	6	100%	1	1	0	0	1	3	1	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	2-3	67%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 33	17.3	11	55%	4	0	0	0	0	2	2	2	2-2	100%	3-6	50%	1-3	33%
Ramon Sessions G · 6'3" 190 · 29	13.4	5	50%	3	2	2	0	2	2	0	3	1-1	100%	2-3	67%	0-2	0%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	8.6	4	50%	1	1	1	0	2	2	1	0	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kris Humphries #43 · F · 6'9" 235 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	99	53%	43	24	6	4	15	0	10	33	16-18	89%	31-59	53%	7-23	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	WAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.07 53.3%

WAS

1.05 52.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

14

25

56%

WAS

18

27

67%

Midrange

MIA

13

27

48%

WAS

13

32

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

10

15.0

27

37%

56%

WAS

7

10.5

23

30%

46%

Free Throws

MIA

13

19

68%

WAS

16

18

89%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Dragic	18	60%	9.0 / 15
S. Napier	16	73%	8.0 / 11
M. Beasley	13	50%	6.5 / 13
T. Johnson	11	61%	5.5 / 9
J. Ennis III	11	92%	5.5 / 6
H. Whiteside	10	63%	5.0 / 8
H. Walker	8	33%	4.0 / 12
U. Haslem	6	33%	3.0 / 9
C. Andersen	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
Nene	20	63%	10.0 / 16
B. Beal	17	65%	8.5 / 13
M. Gortat	14	58%	7.0 / 12
D. Gooden	11	55%	5.5 / 10
P. Pierce	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. Wall	6	38%	3.0 / 8
O. Porter Jr.	6	30%	3.0 / 10
G. Temple	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Sessions	5	50%	2.5 / 5
K. Seraphin	4	50%	2.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	21 103.9 23 103.9	MIA 102.1 WAS 105.3 +3.2
Pace	29 91.0 17 93.6	MIA 101.5 +12.2 WAS 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.3 16 15.3	MIA 14.2 −1.9 WAS 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	12 50.0% 14 49.9%	MIA 53.2% +2.6% WAS 50.6%
TO %	24 15.2% 23 15.2%	MIA 14.7% −1.2% WAS 15.9%
ORB %	26 23.3% 15 25.0%	MIA 19.5% WAS 25.6% +6.1%
FTrt	4 30.6 22 25.9	MIA 24.1 +2.1 WAS 22.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	22 56.4% 5 62.7%	MIA 48.6% WAS 63.2% +14.6%
STL %	8 8.6% 20 7.7%	MIA 5.3% WAS 6.4% +1.1%
BLK %	12 8.0% 15 7.6%	MIA 3.4% WAS 7.7% +4.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	13 52.2% 17 51.8%	MIA 53.3% +0.6% WAS 52.7%
Rim FG%	8 59.7% 3 61.2%	MIA 56.0% WAS 66.7% +10.7%
Mid FG%	8 40.9% 20 39.6%	MIA 48.1% +7.5% WAS 40.6%
3P %	24 33.5% 9 36.0%	MIA 37.0% +6.6% WAS 30.4%
FT %	22 74.1% 21 74.2%	MIA 68.4% WAS 88.9% +20.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	18 35.1% 24 34.0%	MIA 31.6% WAS 32.9% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	22 38.7% 28 45.6%	MIA 34.2% −4.8% WAS 39.0%
3P Att. %	17 26.2% 28 20.3%	MIA 34.2% +6.1% WAS 28.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	WAS
Possessions	95	94
Possession Minutes	22.5	25.3
Points	97	99
Rebounds	37	43
Assists	18	24
Steals	5	6
Blocks	2	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (2)	10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	33 (2)
Field Goals	37-79	38-82
At-the-Rim FG	14-25	18-27
Midrange FG	13-27	13-32
2-Point FG	27-52	31-59
3-Point FG	10-27	7-23
Free Throws	13-19	16-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg