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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 6, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Heat
97
16Wizards
99
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
36
10
11
5
3
1
0
0
2
3
2
1-2
50%
5-5
1-2
100%
43%
0-3
0%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
33
22
8
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
2-9
22%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
29
29
18
5
7
1
1
0
4
2
3
3-7
43%
6-10
4-7
60%
52%
1-2
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
27
16
6
5
1
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-3
33%
47%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
20
29
10
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
5-10
63%
55%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.6
31
5
16
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
41%
4-6
67%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
29
5
11
5
0
1
0
0
4
1
4
5-6
83%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
2-2
100%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
22
20
13
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-9
3-7
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
13
15
4
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-3
33%
59%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
34
1
4-7
48%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
30
1
7-14
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
25
1
2-5
47%
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.7
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.5
35
36
6
7
12
3
2
2
0
1
6
2-2
100%
2-4
6-12
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.7
33
31
17
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
3-5
60%
4-7
4-9
57%
45%
2-4
50%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
32
32
14
17
1
0
1
2
1
4
13
0-0
-
7-12
5-9
58%
55%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.5
32
22
20
2
4
0
1
0
3
0
2
8-8
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.4
22
25
10
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
2-6
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.8
28
25
6
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
3-5
38%
51%
0-2
0%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.8
18
14
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-3
67%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
17
13
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.9
13
15
5
3
2
2
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
44%
0-2
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25.2
9
15
4
1
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.8
10
0
1-2
47%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.3
6
0
0-1
47%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.9
2
0
0-1
54%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.