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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 7, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets
114
23Nuggets
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.5
37
33
28
4
7
2
2
0
4
1
3
10-11
91%
6-15
5-9
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.5
30
24
18
6
5
0
1
1
4
0
6
4-4
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
54%
2-3
67%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.7
30
30
8
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.7
29
32
19
4
3
2
2
0
2
1
3
2-3
67%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
3-6
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.2
27
33
7
11
0
1
1
1
1
4
7
1-2
50%
3-11
6-10
27%
57%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.0
31
25
24
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
5-6
83%
8-10
4-7
80%
51%
1-6
17%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 29.3
30
23
10
10
4
2
1
0
6
2
8
2-4
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.5
18
18
0
0
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 31.2
8
10
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.1
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Pablo Prigioni
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.8
7
0
0-0
50%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.6
3
0
0-0
48%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 22.2
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.8
38
28
26
5
2
4
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
7-10
3-7
70%
48%
4-5
80%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.3
36
29
13
8
10
1
1
0
1
1
7
2-4
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
1-5
20%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.3
34
30
4
9
0
2
1
3
2
1
8
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
52%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.6
32
31
11
5
2
3
1
1
1
2
3
4-4
100%
2-8
3-6
25%
45%
1-7
14%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.4
27
21
20
2
7
2
1
1
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-4
1-3
100%
42%
3-7
43%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.2
20
26
10
0
0
1
1
2
2
0
0
2-3
67%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.1
14
18
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-2
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.5
13
18
4
10
0
0
0
1
2
4
6
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
51%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 23.4
8
8
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
8
14
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.5
7
10
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.8
3
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.5
8
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.