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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 8, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Mavericks63%106100
27Lakers37%10293
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.4
38
31
31
3
3
1
2
1
1
0
3
2-6
33%
7-15
6-11
47%
49%
5-7
71%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.0
36
28
8
4
9
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.4
35
31
11
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
0-1
0%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
1-5
20%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.4
32
25
8
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
4-4
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
63%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.7
27
27
12
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-9
43%
51%
2-5
40%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
20
20
13
5
0
6
1
3
1
1
4
6-7
86%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 32.3
19
16
9
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.7
17
21
6
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.7
11
28
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.7
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.5
10
0
1-2
49%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 30.1
8
0
1-1
52%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 24.2
3
0
0-1
60%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.0
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 27.3
37
34
13
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
1-7
14%
Jordan Clarkson
G · 6'5" 194 · 22.7
35
31
15
6
5
0
1
0
4
2
4
3-4
75%
6-12
5-10
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
26
6
6
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-5
1-1
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 27.6
26
24
8
7
3
1
0
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
4-6
5-11
67%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.7
25
26
15
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-3
67%
5-6
3-5
83%
46%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 33.3
25
23
17
8
2
1
1
0
3
4
4
1-1
100%
8-15
5-10
53%
49%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.5
24
27
7
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
1-5
4-7
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
23
20
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
19
23
10
8
2
0
1
3
1
3
5
0-2
0%
5-8
3-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 25.8
17
0
2-5
45%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 36.5
8
0
1-3
47%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29.8
6
0
1-2
43%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 31.7
6
0
0-1
41%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 41.1
Julius Randle
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.