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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 9, 2015
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Celtics
100
15Heat
90
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
33
32
14
9
4
3
1
0
1
6
3
0-0
-
7-13
5-11
54%
49%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.7
28
29
4
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.0
27
34
9
5
1
0
2
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.4
27
29
8
6
2
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.1
15
21
6
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.1
31
27
25
1
4
0
1
0
3
0
1
8-8
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
3-10
30%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.0
23
18
9
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
1-1
100%
4-7
1-3
57%
49%
0-2
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.9
21
16
10
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
1-4
25%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.3
21
7
13
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
1-2
71%
47%
1-2
50%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.6
13
4
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
49%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 24.1
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.6
10
0
1-1
48%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.3
4
0
0-1
44%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.3
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.1
35
24
34
4
2
0
1
0
4
0
4
6-7
86%
11-19
6-12
58%
52%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.8
34
22
12
3
4
2
1
0
2
0
3
7-9
78%
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.9
33
18
11
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
1-3
33%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.4
25
27
2
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
22
18
7
9
0
0
0
0
1
1
8
3-6
50%
2-6
4-6
33%
58%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 22.8
33
26
2
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
3-5
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
32
25
14
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.7
19
18
6
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
61%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.7
7
17
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.8
21
1
3-5
54%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.7
16
0
2-4
48%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.7
14
0
1-2
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.0
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.0
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.